Friday, May 12, 2006

The market still doesn't like the Fed interest rate outlook, and that was reflected in today's equity price action. All three indexes finished the day substantially down, and Bonds sold off again today.

Despite the market's renewed perception of higher rates, the Dollar continues to take a beating. Could this be the start of a major currency disruption? It's hard to say, but right now it does look like the Fed will need to continue to flex its muscles simply to keep the dollar's decline from running out of control.

The metals and energy both gave back some of yesterday's gains, but that is to be expected after big moves.

We exited our Long ES position today at the market close. That position will be reflected in Monday's reports.


Our TNR model had a nice day today, as there was enough back and forth price action in ES to give us a number of profitable trades. Our NQ position hit a money management stop again early in the morning. Net total gains on the day were $925. We are calling for a reversion day again for both contracts on Monday.

Our open positions:

Contract ctrcts Open P/L days on
Contract ctrcts Open P/L days on









@US.P 0 $0 0
@NG.P 0 $0 0
@TY.P -2 $1,113 13
@KC.P 0 $0 0
@FV.P -4 $7,238 70
@SB.P 3 $9,811 158
@EC.P 0 $0 0
@CT.P 0 $2,770 22
@JY.P 0 $0 0
@GC.P 3 $54,930 169
@CD.P 3 $5,890 17
@SI.P 1 $25,685 120
@C.P 0 $0 0
@HG.P 2 $93,200 237
@W.P 0 $0 0
@LB.P 0 $0 0
@S.P 0 $0 0
@ES 2 $2,975 120
@CL.P 1 -$310 19
@YM 3 $2,485 41
@HO.P 1 $3,681 23
@NQ 0 $0 0











Total Open Trades
$209,467




Total Closed Trades -$29,903




Total

$179,564



Good luck, and have a relaxing weekend!

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