Thursday, February 02, 2006

Copper continues to be the market that defies gravity, with the March contract setting a new high on the day. We haven't heard much recently about the rogue Chinese Copper trader, but I wonder if that situation has fully played itself out yet...

Our Crude position and our NQ position are both starting to look precarious, and another day like today could easily see our stops hit in both of those contracts. Sugar looks good, and our new Five Year Note position is the only bond contract that was down on the day.

Our TNR model called for a Trending day in ES today, and we rode a short position from 11:00 all the way down to our exit at 4:00. We made $493 on the day. TNR is calling for a Reversion day in ES tomorrow, and Neutral in NQ.

Incidently, you may be wondering why our 5-year bond position is showing a loss, if the market moved in our favor today...

The System B model report builds in a loss of $200 on each side of every trade to account for slippage and commissions. On a liquid, electronic market like Treasury Futures, we will always experience much better fills. Other markets, like Lumber, that could be a realistic figure!

Our positions:

Contract ctrcts Open P/L days on
Contract ctrcts Open P/L days on





@US.P 0 $0 0 @NG.P 0 $0 0
@TY.P 0 $0 0
@KC.P 0 $0 0
@FV.P -4 -$138 1 @SB.P 3 $15,019 89
@EC.P 0 $0 0 @CT.P 0 $0 0
@JY.P 0 $0 0
@GC.P 3 $15,930 100
@CD.P 2 $1,140 9 @SI.P 1 $4,935 51
@C.P 0 $0 0 @HG.P 2 $13,350 168
@W.P 0 $0 0
@LB.P 0 $0 0
@S.P 0 $0 0 @ES 2 $1,725 50
@CL.P 1 -$1,770 11 @YM 0 $0 0
@HO.P 0 $0 0 @NQ 2 $1,200 35











Total Open Trades
$51,392




Total Closed Trades -$8,440




Total

$42,952



Good luck, and have a great evening!

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