Our trend-following model (System B) continues to post gains in our open P/L. The nice thing is each day it seems like a different sector is contributing to the run-up. Today, it was pronounced late day weakness in the grains and strength in Sugar. Wheat set new contract lows today, and Sugar (and Copper) set new contract highs.
Sugar has had a tremendous run over the past 3 days. The fundamental story is that Brazil has switched over a large chunk of sugar from food use to ethanol production, and that is causing some supply tightness.
Our current positons:
Contract | ctrcts | Open P/L | days on | Contract | ctrcts | Open P/L | days on | |
@US.P | 0 | $0 | 0 | @NG.P | 0 | $0 | 0 | |
@TY.P | 0 | $0 | 0 | @KC.P | 0 | $0 | 0 | |
@FV.P | 0 | $0 | 0 | @SB.P | 3 | $4,504 | 37 | |
@EC.P | 0 | $0 | 0 | @CT.P | 0 | $0 | 0 | |
@JY.P | -1 | $6,563 | 35 | @GC.P | 3 | $5,290 | 48 | |
@CD.P | 0 | $0 | 0 | @SI.P | 0 | $0 | 0 | |
@C.P | -4 | $5,750 | 65 | @HG.P | 2 | $25,050 | 116 | |
@W.P | -3 | $1,413 | 12 | @LB.P | 0 | $0 | 0 | |
@S.P | 0 | $0 | 0 | @ES | 0 | $0 | 0 | |
@CL.P | 0 | $0 | 0 | @YM | 0 | $0 | 0 | |
@HO.P | 0 | $0 | 0 | @NQ | 0 | $0 | 0 | |
Total Open Trades | $48,569 | |||||||
Total Closed Trades | $7,580 | |||||||
Total | $56,149 |
Our TNR daytrading model finished with a slight gain on the day. We started long in ES, but were not able to reverse our position until much of the afternoon sell-off had already taken place. Fortunately, we caught the PM sell-off in NQ, which bailed us out of what might have been much worse. We ended the day up $123. Tomorrow TNR is calling for a neutral day in both contracts.
Good luck, and good night!
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