Tuesday, January 17, 2006

We saw weakness all day in equities on the back of the Nikkei sell off overnight. The metals also looked weak, closing down on the day after a decent morning rally. The CAD was off, and the only bright spot in our portfolio was Sugar, which closed at a new contract high.

We seem to be entering into a correlated phase of the market, when everything moves together (last March - June was another such phase). If this high correlation combines with higher volatility, we could see a difficult stretch for our portfolio. We will keep a close eye on developments...

The TNR model was neutral today, but is indicating a reversion day in ES tomorrow.

Our positions:
Contract ctrcts Open P/L days on
Contract ctrcts Open P/L days on





@US.P 0 $0 0 @NG.P 0 $0 0
@TY.P 0 $0 0
@KC.P 0 $0 0
@FV.P 0 $0 0 @SB.P 3 $2,990 67
@EC.P 0 $0 0 @CT.P 0 $0 0
@JY.P 0 $0 0
@GC.P 3 $10,620 78
@CD.P 2 -$300 18 @SI.P 1 $915 29
@C.P 0 $0 0 @HG.P 2 $3,450 146
@W.P 0 $0 0
@LB.P 0 $0 0
@S.P 0 $0 0 @ES 2 $3,425 28
@CL.P 0 $0 0 @YM 0 $1,120 0
@HO.P 0 $0 0 @NQ 2 $2,520 13











Total Open Trades
$24,740




Total Closed Trades -$4,500




Total

$20,240



Good luck, and have a great evening!

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