The grains showed some weakness today, which helped our corn position. We exited Wheat on Tuesday at the close, but today would have provided a better exit point. Sugar, Copper and Gold all looked good from our perspective today. Cotton is starting to look interesting, tracing out a large base over the past 18 months. We may be going long over the first quarter of 2006.
Our TNR model made a little money again today, primarily due to our getting short NQ in the morning and riding it all the way down to the 4:00 close. We were long ES in the morning, and hit our money management stop during the afternoon sell-off, and then went short around 3:00. We finished the day with a total net gain of $141. One item of interest is that we are now trading 3 contracts of ES, up from the 2 we have been trading recently. Position sizing is specified by the model, and this indicates that intraday volatility has been diminishing somewhat.
Our positions:
Contract | ctrcts | Open P/L | days on | Contract | ctrcts | Open P/L | days on | |
@US.P | 0 | $0 | 0 | @NG.P | 0 | $0 | 0 | |
@TY.P | 0 | $0 | 0 | @KC.P | 0 | $0 | 0 | |
@FV.P | 0 | $0 | 0 | @SB.P | 3 | $13,744 | 66 | |
@EC.P | 0 | $0 | 0 | @CT.P | 0 | $0 | 0 | |
@JY.P | -1 | $6,100 | 65 | @GC.P | 3 | $18,520 | 77 | |
@CD.P | 2 | -$1,440 | 17 | @SI.P | 1 | $3,655 | 28 | |
@C.P | -4 | $5,550 | 95 | @HG.P | 2 | $37,175 | 145 | |
@W.P | 0 | $0 | 0 | @LB.P | 0 | $0 | 0 | |
@S.P | 0 | $0 | 0 | @ES | 2 | -$25 | 27 | |
@CL.P | 0 | $0 | 0 | @YM | 0 | $0 | 0 | |
@HO.P | 0 | $0 | 0 | @NQ | 2 | -$2,160 | 12 | |
Total Open Trades | $81,119 | |||||||
Total Closed Trades | $6,280 | |||||||
Total | $87,399 |
Good evening, and good luck!
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